Tuesday, January 11, 2005

Shawns Green and Estes to the D-Backs 

Along with the wire report of Shawn Green being introduced as a D-Back, Shawn Estes has supposedly signed with the D-Backs, one year at $2.5-3 million.

I don't get it.

The Dodgers are kicking in $8 million towards his salary this season. Under his original deal, he was owed $16 million for 2005. He insisted on a contract extension to waive his no-trade clause, and the D-Backs ended up signing him to a new 3 year, $32 million deal. So, basically, they are paying him $8 million per year for the next three years, and giving up Dioner Navarro, a quality catching prospect, along with three minor league arms in the deal. Baseball America breaks down the prospects in this piece.

I'm not sure why Arizona wants Shawn Green that badly. He was very good for several years, but he's coming off seasons with EQAs of .286 and .280. He's 32, so there may be an assumption that he's due to bounce back to the .300-.320 level EQAs he posted in his late-20s, but he's also at the age where very good but not great players oftentimes fall off the table pretty quickly -- I'd be less surprised if he was useless by 2007 than if he returned to his 1999-2002 level of production over the life of the contract.

And he may be limited to 1B, rather than his usual right field, because of shoulder problems. That wouldn't be so much of a problem, if it weren't for the fact that Troy Glaus, another big D-Back f.a. acquisition, might also be limited to 1B because of shoulder problems.

And then there's Shawn Estes.

Shawn Estes isn't good.

He walks a bunch of batters and doesn't strike anyone out.

But he gives up a lot of ground balls, which I guess the D-Backs, with their hitter-friendly stadium, are looking for.

Yeah, he pitched at Coors last season, but he had a 5.53 ERA on the road, with 18 homers in 19 starts.

He's nothing more than an NRI...Arizona has become one of the worst-run organizations in baseball.

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