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Wednesday, March 30, 2005

2005 Diamond Mind projects 

The 2005 Diamond Mind season projections are out...

The DM season projection has the Rangers finishing last in the A.L. West, but with an 80-82 record.

The issues they identify are the obvious ones...the Rangers were luckier (or more efficient) than average last season, in terms of runs scored and runs allowed based on individual components, and W/L percentage based on runs scored and runs allowed. The DM folks have issues with the Ranger starting pitching, and the best starter, Ryan Drese, has peripherals that suggest that repeating his 2004 success may be difficult. And no one of note, other than Richard Hidalgo, was added this offseason.

DM has had a hard time projecting Texas lately...after several seasons of projecting a record over .500, only to see the Rangers vastly underperform, last season DM projected the Rangers to lose 90 games, and the Rangers did much better than expected.

Interesting analysis, with the understanding that everything is based on statistical projections and modeling...


2 comments
Comments:
So St. Louis has a 99% chance of winning that division? I know they are the class of the NL probably, but anything that has model that produces 99% on just about anything I have to question.
 
tthay is the biggest load of crap. Sports illistrated has the rangers finishing second to the Angels.......

Worst article in a long time i have read.......
 
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