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Monday, March 07, 2005

Sickels: Texas Rangers Top 20 Prospects 

John Sickels ranks his Texas Rangers Top 20 Prospects...

Interesting list...not much to disagree with in the top 5, but then it gets divergent, with Mike Nickeas checking in at #9, very high for a relatively late round 2004 draftee. Joaquin Arias is at #10, lower than most folks have him, but as Sickels points out, his lack of walks and power mean that even with a .300 average, his OPS is sub-par. Additionally, Sickels is critical of his defense and baserunning, although he says the speed and athleticism is there.

Arias evokes the major stathead/scout split, of course...scouts love the tools, statheads look at the stats and can't figure out what's so special about a guy who projects to be the next Cristian Guzman.

Jason Botts and Kam Loe both get C+s, and at #12 and #13, respectively, seem a bit low to me. The negatives for both are well known...Botts is old and (some think) has a hole in his swing, while Loe is a finesse righty (although his frame is such that he could add velocity, like Chris Young did last year).

The big surprise on the list is Mark Roberts, who comes in at #16, right behind Matt Lorenzo, while guys like Juan Senreiso, Erik Thompson and Ramon Nivar don't make the cut. Roberts was an 8th round choice out of Oklahoma in 2004, posting a very impressive 54/14 K/BB ratio in Spokane last year. But he was drafted as a senior, and as a guy who turns 23 in June, he's going to need to move up the ladder quickly to justify the ranking.

Good list, though, and Sickels' blog is a must-read.


4 comments
Comments:
Have you heard anything about Ryan Snare? I heard this was a guy that the Rangers had their eyes on when he was in the Reds' organization before the Dempster deal. By most accounts the Rangers really fleeced the Marlins in that deal, but I have not seen anything to convince me of that.
 
Snare wasn't much of anything at AAA last year, and is one guy who didn't respond well to the famous sit-down talk with Dom Chiti that worked so well with Drese.

I don't think he's with the organization anymore.

On the list, I liked it as well. I like the additions of Nickeas, Webster and Herren. If you're going to include an all-tools, few stats player like Arias, I think you have to add other names that project well at valuable positions.

Roberts jumped out at me as well, but I figured Sickels was giving him credit for strong college numbers. I'll be watching his progress this year. He could come quickly, and he hasn't been talked about at all--not even by Newberg.

Botts and Loe might be low on the list, but both have things to prove this year. Botts has to keep forcing himself on the ML scene, as do most players that project as DHs. And Loe needs to find a way to not get beat up by RH'ed hitters.
 
Snare wasn't much of anything at AAA last year, and is one guy who didn't respond well to the famous sit-down talk with Dom Chiti that worked so well with Drese.

I don't think he's with the organization anymore.

On the list, I liked it as well. I like the additions of Nickeas, Webster and Herren. If you're going to include an all-tools, few stats player like Arias, I think you have to add other names that project well at valuable positions.

Roberts jumped out at me as well, but I figured Sickels was giving him credit for strong college numbers. I'll be watching his progress this year. He could come quickly, and he hasn't been talked about at all--not even by Newberg.

Botts and Loe might be low on the list, but both have things to prove this year. Botts has to keep forcing himself on the ML scene, as do most players that project as DHs. And Loe needs to find a way to not get beat up by RH'ed hitters.
 
Snare was dropped from the 40 man roster, but cleared waivers, and will probably bounce around the league for a while like Juan Alvarez or Eric Gunderson, random lefties who get NRIs and stick in pens occasionally.
 
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